FK Teplice vs Dynamo Dresden

02 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.1 pp

FK Teplice

Dynamo Dresden

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.9% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 39.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.8% 3.06 DRAW 22.5% 4.60 AWAY 43.6% 2.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FK Teplice clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 38.9% win probability, compared with 33.8% implied by the market. The 5.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: FK Teplice

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Teplice Dynamo Dresden

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 13.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Teplice Dynamo Dresden

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 20.0 · On target allowed 7.5

FK Teplice has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Teplice Dynamo Dresden

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Teplice.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FK Teplice ↑ +0.83 (+37.7%)

Dynamo Dresden ↓ -0.18 (-6.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.