Rapid Bucuresti vs Genoa

02 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.9 pp

Rapid Bucuresti

Genoa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.3% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 25.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% 2.21 DRAW 25.8% 3.80 AWAY 29.8% 3.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Rapid Bucuresti clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 50.3% win probability, compared with 44.4% implied by the market. The 5.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Rapid Bucuresti has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rapid Bucuresti Genoa

Shots 22.8 · On target 7.5 Shots 16.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Rapid Bucuresti, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rapid Bucuresti Genoa

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Rapid Bucuresti has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rapid Bucuresti Genoa

The combined recent performance profile favours Rapid Bucuresti.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Rapid Bucuresti ↓ -1.88 (-46.0%)

Genoa ↑ +1.72 (+108.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.