Stal Lancut vs Legion Pilzno

02 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.2 pp

Stal Lancut

Legion Pilzno

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.2% DRAW 16.4% AWAY 15.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.0% 1.48 DRAW 18.1% 5.30 AWAY 16.9% 5.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Stal Lancut relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 68.2% win probability, compared with 65.0% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Stal Lancut has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Stal Lancut Legion Pilzno

Shots 18.3 · On target 8.5 Shots 13.3 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Stal Lancut, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Stal Lancut Legion Pilzno

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Stal Lancut Legion Pilzno

The combined recent performance profile favours Stal Lancut.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Stal Lancut ↓ -0.35 (-19.3%)

Legion Pilzno ↑ +2.70 (+90.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.