Naki Olsztyn vs Rominta Goldap

02 Oct 2026 · 19:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Naki Olsztyn

Rominta Goldap

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.6% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 40.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.5% 2.60 DRAW 21.9% 4.34 AWAY 41.6% 2.28

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Naki Olsztyn

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Naki Olsztyn Rominta Goldap

Shots 18.8 · On target 7.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Naki Olsztyn, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Naki Olsztyn Rominta Goldap

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Rominta Goldap has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Naki Olsztyn Rominta Goldap

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Naki Olsztyn ↑ +0.15 (+6.2%)

Rominta Goldap ↑ +0.03 (+1.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.