Bissen vs RFC Liege

01 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.5 pp

Bissen

RFC Liege

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.2% DRAW 23.0% AWAY 40.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.8% 3.10 DRAW 23.5% 4.07 AWAY 45.8% 2.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Bissen clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.2% win probability, compared with 30.8% implied by the market. The 5.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Bissen has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bissen RFC Liege

Shots 15.8 · On target 6.5 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Bissen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bissen RFC Liege

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Bissen has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bissen RFC Liege

The combined recent performance profile favours Bissen.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Bissen ↓ -0.40 (-11.4%)

RFC Liege ↑ +0.33 (+19.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.