Cumnock Juniors vs Auchinleck Talbot

02 Oct 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Cumnock Juniors

Auchinleck Talbot

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.1% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 45.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.2% 2.99 DRAW 22.7% 4.10 AWAY 46.1% 2.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Auchinleck Talbot

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cumnock Juniors Auchinleck Talbot

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cumnock Juniors Auchinleck Talbot

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Cumnock Juniors has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cumnock Juniors Auchinleck Talbot

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cumnock Juniors ↑ +0.04 (+1.3%)

Auchinleck Talbot = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.