Necaxa II vs Cefor Promotora San Luis

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Necaxa II

Cefor Promotora San Luis

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.9% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 36.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.7% 2.46 DRAW 24.3% 3.91 AWAY 37.0% 2.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Necaxa II

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Necaxa II Cefor Promotora San Luis

Shots 9.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Necaxa II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Necaxa II Cefor Promotora San Luis

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Cefor Promotora San Luis has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Necaxa II Cefor Promotora San Luis

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Necaxa II ↑ +0.11 (+4.5%)

Cefor Promotora San Luis ↑ +0.07 (+2.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.