Alqueries CF vs CD Almazora

02 Oct 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Alqueries CF

CD Almazora

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.2% DRAW 27.1% AWAY 36.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.5% 2.85 DRAW 27.2% 3.40 AWAY 40.3% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Alqueries CF relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.2% win probability, compared with 32.5% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Almazora

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alqueries CF CD Almazora

Shots 0.8 · On target 0.8 Shots 4.3 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours CD Almazora, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alqueries CF CD Almazora

Shots allowed 0.0 · On target allowed 0.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Alqueries CF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alqueries CF CD Almazora

The combined recent performance profile favours Alqueries CF.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Alqueries CF ↑ +0.19 (+7.0%)

CD Almazora = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.