Lechuzas UPGCH vs Tapachula Soconusco FC II

03 Oct 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Lechuzas UPGCH

Tapachula Soconusco FC II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.8% DRAW 17.8% AWAY 13.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.6% 1.41 DRAW 18.8% 5.06 AWAY 13.6% 7.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tapachula Soconusco FC II

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lechuzas UPGCH Tapachula Soconusco FC II

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 16.8 · On target 9.0

Recent attacking output favours Tapachula Soconusco FC II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lechuzas UPGCH Tapachula Soconusco FC II

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 7.5

Lechuzas UPGCH has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lechuzas UPGCH Tapachula Soconusco FC II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Lechuzas UPGCH ↑ +0.02 (+1.3%)

Tapachula Soconusco FC II ↑ +0.95 (+15.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.