CH Fútbol Club vs Colegio Once México

02 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.8 pp

CH Fútbol Club

Colegio Once México

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.0% DRAW 17.8% AWAY 28.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.3% 1.64 DRAW 18.3% 5.31 AWAY 22.4% 4.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Colegio Once México clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 28.2% win probability, compared with 22.4% implied by the market. The 5.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CH Fútbol Club

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CH Fútbol Club Colegio Once México

Shots 9.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours CH Fútbol Club, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CH Fútbol Club Colegio Once México

Shots allowed 27.3 · On target allowed 15.5 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.3

Colegio Once México has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CH Fútbol Club Colegio Once México

The combined recent performance profile favours Colegio Once México.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CH Fútbol Club ↑ +0.04 (+2.2%)

Colegio Once México ↑ +0.43 (+11.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.