Alamos vs CD Muxes

03 Oct 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Alamos

CD Muxes

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 32.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.2% 2.24 DRAW 24.1% 4.19 AWAY 30.6% 3.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Muxes

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alamos CD Muxes

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 13.3 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours CD Muxes, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alamos CD Muxes

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Alamos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alamos CD Muxes

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Alamos ↑ +0.05 (+2.6%)

CD Muxes ↑ +0.37 (+10.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.