Las Palmas U19 vs Arucas CF U19

02 Oct 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Las Palmas U19

Arucas CF U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 81.7% DRAW 10.4% AWAY 8.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 78.6% 1.17 DRAW 12.2% 7.50 AWAY 9.2% 10.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Las Palmas U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 81.7% win probability, compared with 78.6% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Las Palmas U19

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Las Palmas U19 Arucas CF U19

Shots 15.8 · On target 7.8 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Las Palmas U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Las Palmas U19 Arucas CF U19

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Arucas CF U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Las Palmas U19 Arucas CF U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Las Palmas U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Las Palmas U19 = (0.0%)

Arucas CF U19 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.