Montreal Roses FC (W) vs Ottawa Rapid FC (W)

03 Oct 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Montreal Roses FC (W)

Ottawa Rapid FC (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.4% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 21.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.1% 1.84 DRAW 25.2% 3.87 AWAY 21.7% 4.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Ottawa Rapid FC (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Montreal Roses FC (W) Ottawa Rapid FC (W)

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Montreal Roses FC (W) Ottawa Rapid FC (W)

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Montreal Roses FC (W) Ottawa Rapid FC (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Montreal Roses FC (W) ↑ +0.15 (+9.1%)

Ottawa Rapid FC (W) ↑ +0.01 (+0.1%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.