Grenoble vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

02 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.2 pp

Grenoble

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.2% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 41.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.7% 2.67 DRAW 25.9% 3.79 AWAY 37.4% 2.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Stade Lausanne-Ouchy clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 41.6% win probability, compared with 37.4% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Grenoble Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Grenoble Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Grenoble Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

The combined recent performance profile favours Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Grenoble ↑ +0.67 (+33.5%)

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy ↓ -0.43 (-13.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.