Ciervos FC II vs Club Union Magdalena Contreras

02 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.2 pp

Ciervos FC II

Club Union Magdalena Contreras

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.3% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 33.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.1% 2.35 DRAW 23.0% 3.90 AWAY 38.9% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Ciervos FC II substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.3% win probability, compared with 38.1% implied by the market. The 6.2 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Performance data unavailable

Recent team performance statistics are not available for this match.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Ciervos FC II ↓ -0.45 (-16.1%)

Club Union Magdalena Contreras ↑ +0.35 (+17.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.