Slavia Sofia vs Botev Vratsa

03 Oct 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Slavia Sofia

Botev Vratsa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.4% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 36.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.7% 2.49 DRAW 25.7% 3.75 AWAY 35.6% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Botev Vratsa

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Slavia Sofia Botev Vratsa

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Slavia Sofia Botev Vratsa

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Botev Vratsa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Slavia Sofia Botev Vratsa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Slavia Sofia ↓ -0.46 (-15.5%)

Botev Vratsa ↑ +0.52 (+23.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.