CD Vendaval vs Once Lobos Chalchuapa

02 Oct 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.6 pp

CD Vendaval

Once Lobos Chalchuapa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.9% DRAW 19.9% AWAY 64.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.0% 5.00 DRAW 21.4% 4.20 AWAY 60.7% 1.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Once Lobos Chalchuapa relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 64.3% win probability, compared with 60.7% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Once Lobos Chalchuapa has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Vendaval Once Lobos Chalchuapa

Shots 7.0 · On target 2.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Once Lobos Chalchuapa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Vendaval Once Lobos Chalchuapa

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Once Lobos Chalchuapa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Vendaval Once Lobos Chalchuapa

The combined recent performance profile favours Once Lobos Chalchuapa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CD Vendaval = (0.0%)

Once Lobos Chalchuapa = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.