Apollon Limassol (W) vs Lakatamia FC (W)

03 Oct 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Apollon Limassol (W)

Lakatamia FC (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 97.2% DRAW 1.5% AWAY 1.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 95.7% 1.01 DRAW 2.4% 41.00 AWAY 1.9% 51.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Apollon Limassol (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Apollon Limassol (W) Lakatamia FC (W)

Shots 12.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 2.3 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Apollon Limassol (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Apollon Limassol (W) Lakatamia FC (W)

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.8

Apollon Limassol (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Apollon Limassol (W) Lakatamia FC (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Apollon Limassol (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Apollon Limassol (W) ↓ -0.01 (-0.5%)

Lakatamia FC (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.