St Francis FC vs Glebe North FC

02 Oct 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.7 pp

St Francis FC

Glebe North FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.8% DRAW 17.4% AWAY 22.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.2% 1.75 DRAW 19.2% 5.00 AWAY 25.6% 3.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates St Francis FC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 59.8% win probability, compared with 55.2% implied by the market. The 4.7 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

St Francis FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

St Francis FC Glebe North FC

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours St Francis FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

St Francis FC Glebe North FC

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 10.0

St Francis FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

St Francis FC Glebe North FC

The combined recent performance profile favours St Francis FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

St Francis FC ↑ +0.02 (+1.0%)

Glebe North FC ↑ +0.76 (+25.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.