Guerreros de Puebla vs Liga de Fútbol de Tehuacán

03 Oct 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +7.3 pp

Guerreros de Puebla

Liga de Fútbol de Tehuacán

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.5% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 38.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.2% 2.90 DRAW 23.2% 3.90 AWAY 45.7% 1.98

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Guerreros de Puebla substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 38.5% win probability, compared with 31.2% implied by the market. The 7.3 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Liga de Fútbol de Tehuacán

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Guerreros de Puebla Liga de Fútbol de Tehuacán

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 14.3 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Liga de Fútbol de Tehuacán, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Guerreros de Puebla Liga de Fútbol de Tehuacán

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 23.3 · On target allowed 14.3

Guerreros de Puebla has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Guerreros de Puebla Liga de Fútbol de Tehuacán

The combined recent performance profile favours Guerreros de Puebla.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

No movement data

Guerreros de Puebla —

Liga de Fútbol de Tehuacán —

No stored odds movement is available for this match.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.