Kilbarrack Utd vs Malahide Utd

02 Oct 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.2 pp

Kilbarrack Utd

Malahide Utd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.3% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 26.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.1% 2.02 DRAW 23.8% 4.00 AWAY 29.1% 3.28

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Kilbarrack Utd clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.3% win probability, compared with 47.1% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Kilbarrack Utd

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kilbarrack Utd Malahide Utd

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 12.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kilbarrack Utd Malahide Utd

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 7.0

Kilbarrack Utd has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kilbarrack Utd Malahide Utd

The combined recent performance profile favours Kilbarrack Utd.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Kilbarrack Utd ↓ -0.18 (-8.1%)

Malahide Utd ↑ +0.73 (+28.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.