Corsarios de Campeche vs Ejidatarios de Bonfil

02 Oct 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Corsarios de Campeche

Ejidatarios de Bonfil

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 27.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% 2.17 DRAW 27.0% 3.53 AWAY 29.1% 3.28

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Corsarios de Campeche

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Corsarios de Campeche Ejidatarios de Bonfil

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Corsarios de Campeche Ejidatarios de Bonfil

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.3

Corsarios de Campeche has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Corsarios de Campeche Ejidatarios de Bonfil

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Corsarios de Campeche ↑ +0.44 (+25.7%)

Ejidatarios de Bonfil ↓ -0.72 (-18.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.