Haman vs Jecheon Citizen

03 Oct 2026 · 07:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Haman

Jecheon Citizen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.8% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 45.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.8% 3.45 DRAW 24.4% 3.94 AWAY 47.8% 2.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Haman relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 30.8% win probability, compared with 27.8% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Haman

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Haman Jecheon Citizen

Shots 9.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Haman, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Haman Jecheon Citizen

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Haman Jecheon Citizen

The combined recent performance profile favours Haman.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Haman ↑ +0.70 (+25.5%)

Jecheon Citizen ↓ -0.14 (-6.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.