Jinju Citizen FC vs Geoje Citizen FC

03 Oct 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Jinju Citizen FC

Geoje Citizen FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.5% DRAW 20.4% AWAY 21.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.9% 1.61 DRAW 20.9% 4.61 AWAY 19.2% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Geoje Citizen FC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jinju Citizen FC Geoje Citizen FC

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Geoje Citizen FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jinju Citizen FC Geoje Citizen FC

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jinju Citizen FC Geoje Citizen FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Geoje Citizen FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Jinju Citizen FC ↑ +0.13 (+8.5%)

Geoje Citizen FC = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.