Alajuelense U20 vs Herediano U20

02 Oct 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.1 pp

Alajuelense U20

Herediano U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.8% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 19.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.7% 1.67 DRAW 23.9% 3.75 AWAY 22.4% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Alajuelense U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.8% win probability, compared with 53.7% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Alajuelense U20

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alajuelense U20 Herediano U20

Shots 14.0 · On target 7.5 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Alajuelense U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alajuelense U20 Herediano U20

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 1.5

Herediano U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alajuelense U20 Herediano U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Alajuelense U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Alajuelense U20 = (0.0%)

Herediano U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.