Fredensborg (W) vs BSF (W)

03 Oct 2026 · 10:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Fredensborg (W)

BSF (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 38.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.1% 2.50 DRAW 22.4% 4.24 AWAY 39.5% 2.41

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: BSF (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fredensborg (W) BSF (W)

Shots 14.5 · On target 7.5 Shots 15.5 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fredensborg (W) BSF (W)

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 8.0

Fredensborg (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fredensborg (W) BSF (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Fredensborg (W) ↓ -0.09 (-3.5%)

BSF (W) ↓ -0.14 (-5.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.