UWC (W) vs University of Pretoria (W)

03 Oct 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.2 pp

UWC (W)

University of Pretoria (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.6% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 24.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% 2.06 DRAW 25.7% 3.72 AWAY 27.9% 3.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates UWC (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 50.6% win probability, compared with 46.4% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

UWC (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

UWC (W) University of Pretoria (W)

Shots 13.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours UWC (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UWC (W) University of Pretoria (W)

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.3

UWC (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UWC (W) University of Pretoria (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours UWC (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

UWC (W) = (0.0%)

University of Pretoria (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.