Esan Fighter FC vs Surin City FC

03 Oct 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Esan Fighter FC

Surin City FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.1% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 35.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.7% 2.52 DRAW 26.9% 3.53 AWAY 35.4% 2.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Esan Fighter FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Esan Fighter FC Surin City FC

Shots 2.5 · On target 0.8 Shots 1.3 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output favours Esan Fighter FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Esan Fighter FC Surin City FC

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 1.0

Surin City FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Esan Fighter FC Surin City FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Esan Fighter FC ↑ +0.12 (+5.0%)

Surin City FC ↑ +0.13 (+5.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.