Speranza Takatsuki (W) vs Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

03 Oct 2026 · 06:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Speranza Takatsuki (W)

Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.8% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 31.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.8% 2.23 DRAW 26.9% 3.55 AWAY 30.3% 3.15

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Speranza Takatsuki (W) Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

Shots 4.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Diavorosso Hiroshima (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Speranza Takatsuki (W) Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Speranza Takatsuki (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Speranza Takatsuki (W) Diavorosso Hiroshima (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Diavorosso Hiroshima (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Speranza Takatsuki (W) ↑ +0.08 (+3.5%)

Diavorosso Hiroshima (W) ↑ +0.15 (+4.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.