Madura United U20 vs Bali United U20

03 Oct 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Madura United U20

Bali United U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.7% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 59.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.5% 5.15 DRAW 22.4% 4.26 AWAY 59.0% 1.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Bali United U20

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Madura United U20 Bali United U20

Shots 3.8 · On target 1.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Bali United U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Madura United U20 Bali United U20

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Madura United U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Madura United U20 Bali United U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Bali United U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Madura United U20 ↑ +0.65 (+14.4%)

Bali United U20 ↑ +0.05 (+2.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.