Tigres de Álica FC vs H2O Purepechas FC

03 Oct 2026 · 02:31

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Tigres de Álica FC

H2O Purepechas FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.7% DRAW 17.7% AWAY 11.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.2% 1.30 DRAW 18.8% 4.80 AWAY 12.0% 7.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Tigres de Álica FC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tigres de Álica FC H2O Purepechas FC

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tigres de Álica FC H2O Purepechas FC

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 6.5

Tigres de Álica FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tigres de Álica FC H2O Purepechas FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Tigres de Álica FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tigres de Álica FC = (0.0%)

H2O Purepechas FC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.