Otelul Galati vs FC Bacau

03 Oct 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Otelul Galati

FC Bacau

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.1% DRAW 21.1% AWAY 21.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.9% 1.59 DRAW 21.4% 4.36 AWAY 19.7% 4.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: FC Bacau

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Otelul Galati FC Bacau

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Otelul Galati FC Bacau

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.5

FC Bacau has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Otelul Galati FC Bacau

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Bacau.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Otelul Galati ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

FC Bacau = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.