Club Atletico Tijuana vs Deportivo Etchojoa

03 Oct 2026 · 04:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Club Atletico Tijuana

Deportivo Etchojoa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.9% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 33.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.3% 2.55 DRAW 27.2% 3.40 AWAY 36.5% 2.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Club Atletico Tijuana relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.9% win probability, compared with 36.3% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Club Atletico Tijuana has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Atletico Tijuana Deportivo Etchojoa

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 3.8 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Club Atletico Tijuana, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Atletico Tijuana Deportivo Etchojoa

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Atletico Tijuana Deportivo Etchojoa

The combined recent performance profile favours Club Atletico Tijuana.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Club Atletico Tijuana = (0.0%)

Deportivo Etchojoa = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.