Fiji vs Vanuatu

03 Oct 2026 · 06:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Fiji

Vanuatu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.3% DRAW 29.2% AWAY 33.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.9% 2.47 DRAW 29.1% 3.30 AWAY 32.0% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Vanuatu

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fiji Vanuatu

Shots 6.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Vanuatu, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fiji Vanuatu

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fiji Vanuatu

The combined recent performance profile favours Vanuatu.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Fiji = (0.0%)

Vanuatu = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.